Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.005570 0.005886 0.006213 0.006579 0.006976 0.007395 0.007872
2026-02-01 0.005129 0.005600 0.006112 0.006713 0.007402 0.008173 0.009108
2026-02-08 0.004771 0.005320 0.005936 0.006683 0.007575 0.008613 0.009931
2026-02-15 0.004513 0.005118 0.005812 0.006678 0.007743 0.009028 0.010724
2026-02-22 0.004257 0.004891 0.005634 0.006582 0.007778 0.009262 0.011289
2026-03-01 0.004044 0.004699 0.005480 0.006496 0.007806 0.009476 0.011828
2026-03-08 0.003898 0.004577 0.005400 0.006491 0.007929 0.009809 0.012539
2026-03-15 0.003678 0.004353 0.005180 0.006290 0.007778 0.009761 0.012711
2026-03-22 0.003579 0.004273 0.005136 0.006313 0.007921 0.010115 0.013473
2026-03-29 0.003511 0.004229 0.005133 0.006387 0.008135 0.010575 0.014424
2026-04-05 0.003393 0.004115 0.005034 0.006325 0.008151 0.010750 0.014953
2026-04-12 0.003307 0.004039 0.004980 0.006319 0.008244 0.011039 0.015677
2026-04-19 0.003207 0.003941 0.004894 0.006266 0.008269 0.011230 0.016268
2026-04-26 0.003178 0.003936 0.004934 0.006392 0.008561 0.011846 0.017623
2026-05-03 0.003097 0.003859 0.004870 0.006365 0.008621 0.012102 0.018380
2026-05-10 0.003029 0.003796 0.004824 0.006360 0.008712 0.012411 0.019260
2026-05-17 0.002937 0.003698 0.004724 0.006271 0.008667 0.012491 0.019723
2026-05-24 0.002853 0.003608 0.004632 0.006190 0.008630 0.012582 0.020214
2026-05-31 0.002798 0.003556 0.004593 0.006185 0.008712 0.012876 0.021125
2026-06-07 0.002689 0.003425 0.004437 0.005998 0.008491 0.012635 0.020947
2026-06-14 0.002649 0.003391 0.004418 0.006019 0.008610 0.012993 0.022020
2026-06-21 0.002625 0.003378 0.004431 0.006089 0.008811 0.013510 0.023483
2026-06-28 0.002565 0.003313 0.004364 0.006031 0.008795 0.013630 0.024105